Black Millennials Not Happy About Hillary
Last month, four liberal organizations conducted focus groups to get a sense of what black voters – black millennials, specifically – were looking for in the 2016 election. The focus groups turned their results into a presentation, a copy of which was reviewed by the New York Times on Monday.
In the article, they published quotes from black voters:
“What am I supposed to do if I don’t like him and I don’t trust her?”
“She was part of the whole problem that started sending blacks to jail.”
“He’s a racist, and she is a liar, so really what’s the difference in choosing both or choosing neither?”
These comments are much more concerning for Hillary Clinton than Donald Trump. Trump doesn’t need or expect a significant percentage of the black vote. On the other hand, Clinton doesn’t just need to win the black vote; she needs to win in a landslide. In fact, a landslide isn’t even enough. As the Times points out, she must also make sure that black voters make up as much of the total electorate as they have in the most recent two presidential elections.
“There is no Democratic majority without these voters,” pollster Cornell Belcher, the designer of the presentation, told the Times. “The danger is that if you don’t get these voters out, you’ve got the 2004 John Kerry electorate again.”
Clinton’s troubles in the black community are, in some ways, reflective of the problems she’s having with the public at large. Voters have a deep sense of mistrust when it comes to Hillary, and she has not improved on that over the last year. In fact, her trustworthiness poll numbers have only gotten worse due to the State Department email scandal and criticism over the Clinton Foundation.
In a more specific sense, black millennials are looking for something other than the same boilerplate Democratic Party promises they’ve heard in the past. In Hillary, they see more of the same; a liberal who wants the black vote but isn’t willing to actually listen to the concerns of the community.
“Nobody has seen an agenda for African-American millennials,” a voting activist told the paper. “I don’t think they believe she cares about them.”
For three weeks now, Trump has mystified the mainstream media by turning his focus to black voters, a demographic Republicans have ignored for decades. Many liberal columnists have accused him of “fake outreach,” using this rhetoric to reach moderate white conservatives who don’t want to vote for a “racist.”
Even if you think that’s unnecessarily cynical, you would have to be foolishly optimistic to think that Trump can make meaningful inroads with black voters with just two months to go until the election.
But see, he doesn’t have to. If he can just start planting the seeds of dissent – seeds rooted in the plain, unvarnished truth about the Democratic Party and their betrayal of African-Americans – he may be able to undermine black turnout in November. That alone could put Trump in the White House.
And over the next four years, who can say what those seeds might grow to become?