Forget Biden; Dems Have a Kamala Problem for 2024!
Lately, there seems to be ongoing contention within the Democratic Party over whether or not Joe Biden chooses to run again in 2024, with many believing that his age is a disqualifying factor. However, according to several Democratic strategists, there is one very good reason that Dems should support a second run for Biden – because the alternative – Kamala Harris, is an even less attractive candidate.
Democratic aides and strategists quoted in national news outlets have done a lot of speculating that Harris would be a weak candidate and invite multiple high-profile challengers. Just this week, New York Magazine reported on a “flurry of sub-rosa activity” from other possible 2024 contenders, “which suggests a potential Harris candidacy may not be intimidating enough to keep others away from 2024.”
Indeed, few feel that Harris would fair well as the party’s nominee, particularly in a contest against former president Donald Trump.
That could be a real problem for Dems, and good news for the GOP. If Biden decided not to run, the VP does not become the de facto nominee. Instead, it goes to an open primary, and while Harris does not fair well as a candidate in a general election, she polls better in a primary than some more progressive or liberal well-known Dems.
A recent poll that surveyed 1,963 registered voters last week, found that Democratic voters largely prefer Harris to other nationally known liberals if Biden decides not to run in 2024. She came out above nine other Democrats listed on the poll, garnering 19% approval from those surveyed.
Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders and former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton tied for second with 10% each. Sanders has signaled that he’s open to a 2024 run if Biden steps aside, but a Clinton candidacy seems unlikely given the embarrassing beating she took in the 2016 presidential election. What’s important to note, though, is that no matter how you divide the percentages among the Democrats listed on the poll, no candidate seems likely to muster enough support to beat Harris outright.
Progressive lawmakers such as Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren and New York Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez each earned 4%. If they don’t run and all of their supporters voted for Sanders in a primary instead, he still wouldn’t eclipse the support Harris earned from those surveyed in the poll.
This means that if Biden doesn’t run, Harris might indeed be the Democratic nominee in 2024, and all odds say she wouldn’t stand a ghost of a chance against a populist Republican candidate like Trump or Florida Governor Ron DeSantis.
As for whether Biden should run in 2024? More than 50% of voters surveyed said they have doubts about his mental fitness, and a whopping 62% of respondents said they think he’s too old to run for a second term in 2024.
This all means that Democrats, who are likely to take a shellacking in the midterms, are also starting to panic about the 2024 presidential election — as well they should be.